9z vs Alliance

XSE Pro League Guangzhou semifinal (BO3). The desk gives 9z a thin 55%. In CS2 the veto is half the match, and the question here is arithmetic: 9z can only ban away one of Alliance's two strong maps, Inferno and Ancient. Ban Inferno and Ancient survives; ban Ancient and Inferno, where Alliance are effectively unbeaten this event, lives on as a decider candidate. What still keeps the pick on 9z is their own Nuke pocket, meyern's early opening-duel carry, and their staying power in a LAN semifinal. But that veto math is stacked against them, which is exactly why confidence caps out at 55%. The counter: if Alliance keep Inferno alive into the decider, that strong map comes right back and the call flips to Alliance. All three candidate maps lean slightly toward the defense, so the opening pistol of each half will do a lot of the talking.