100 Thieves vs Nongshim RedForce

EWC 2026 semifinals (Paris LAN). The desk gives Nongshim RedForce a thin 58%. Both sides arrived here 3-0 without dropping a map, and they haven't met yet this event, so there's no film to lean on. That makes this a question of map-pool symmetry rather than seeding. Split is 100T's clear hole; Ascent is Nongshim's. The series comes down to whose veto drags the other into their weak map first, and Nongshim's strength on Breeze and Split gives them a slight edge in that chess match. The wildcard is 100T's Cryocells on the operator. The counter-case: if the decider lands on Ascent, Nongshim are back on the map that broke down hardest for them in groups, and a locked-in Cryocells could even push this to a clean sweep. That veto edge is thin enough to cap the call at 58%, and with both teams undefeated coming in, a best-of-three this evenly matched carries real variance, which keeps a shutout off the table either way.